Before the 2020 NFL season, the Chiefs were favored to win the Super Bowl. About a year later, Andy Reid’s squad is once again favored to win it all.
Though they lost to the Buccaneers in Super Bowl 55, the Chiefs have made some improvements to their team during the 2021 offseason. Plus, they have Patrick Mahomes, and oddsmakers are always willing to trust the NFL’s elite quarterbacks. That’s part of the reason that Tom Brady and the Bucs aren’t too far behind them.
Beyond those two, there are a lot of familiar teams among the top 10. No team has made the type of jump that the Buccaneers did last season after they signed Brady. Among the top 13 favorites to win the Super Bowl, only the 49ers and Cowboys failed to make the playoffs last year. And both of those teams dealt with a lot of injuries during the 2020 season.
Below are the complete updated odds to win Super Bowl 56, which is set to take place on Feb. 13, 2022.
Updated odds to win Super Bowl 56
Currently, the Chiefs (+500) are favored to win the Super Bowl. Kansas City has made the last two Super Bowls and has posted a 1-1 record in them. They lost to the Buccaneers last year, but the Chiefs spent the 2021 offseason revamping their offensive line and should be better equipped to deal with Tampa Bay’s pass rush pressure if they should meet in 2021.
Speaking of the Buccaneers (+650), they’re expected to win the NFC. It’s easy to understand why. They’re returning every starter from their Super Bowl-winning team, so as long as Tom Brady can continue to play well during his age-44 season, they will have a chance to go on another deep playoff run.
The Bills (+1200), Packers (+1200), Ravens (+1400) and 49ers (+1400) round out the top six favorites with the 49ers representing the highest-ranked team that missed the playoffs last season. The Texans (+25000) have the longest odds to win the Super Bowl amid the uncertainty surrounding Deshaun Watson.
Here’s a look at the full list of odds from FanDuel Sportsbook.
|Team||Odds to win Super Bowl|
Those are the odds, and now, we’ll break down five of the best bets to win Super Bowl 56.
Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs made it to the Super Bowl last year, but their offensive line wasn’t healthy at all. As a result, Mahomes was under constant heat from a strong Buccaneers’ pass rush during the title game.
Kansas City did everything it could to make sure that wouldn’t happen again.
The Chiefs will enter 2021 with an entirely new starting offensive line — if all goes according to plan. They traded for Orlando Brown Jr. and signed Joe Thuney to play left tackle and guard respectively. Creed Humphrey and Trey Smith were drafted and have emerged as the leaders in the center and right guard battles. And after opting out of the 2020 season due to the COVID-19 pandemic, 2020 third-round pick Lucas Niang is set to start at right tackle.
So far, this unit has looked very good together during the preseason. And now, the Chiefs now have some quality depth available behind them in Mike Remmers, Kyle Long, Austin Blythe and Laurent Duvernay-Tardiff. They will be much better equipped to block for Mahomes, so their offense will be in good shape. Defensively, they added Jarran Reed to their underrated stop unit.
It’s never sexy to bet the overall favorites, but the Chiefs are still the best team in the AFC. Only two teams appear to have a good chance to catch them, so you can feel free to trust Mahomes at 5-1 odds.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Buccaneers are the only other team with better than 12-1 odds to win the Super Bowl, and there’s a lot to like about them. Above all else, it’s their continuity.
Each of the 22 players that started the Super Bowl for Tampa Bay is returning. Every single one of them. In fact, only one player that played more than 10 percent of their snaps last season has signed elsewhere. That was reserve offensive lineman Joe Haeg.
With another year to gel and seven-time Super Bowl winner Tom Brady leading the way, the Bucs should be among the NFC’s best again. Their interdivisional competition has been weakened as well, as the Saints had to purge talent to deal with salary cap issues, so the Bucs should have a chance to win the division title after failing to do so last year.
Also, the Bucs added Giovani Bernard to their offense. That may not seem like a big deal, but they lacked receiving talent at running back last year. He fills that hole and makes them stronger, as Brady has, historically, loved throwing to his RBs out of the backfield.
The Bucs are a complete team and they have good depth as well. What’s not to like about them? Well, no team has won back-to-back Super Bowls since the Patriots did during the 2004 and 2005 postseasons.
Certainly, that’s a concern, but it’s worth noting that Brady quarterbacked New England in those games. If anyone can figure out how to do it again, it’s him.
Los Angeles Rams
The Rams managed to win a playoff game with a banged-up Jared Goff quarterbacking them after a John Wolford injury. Imagine how they’re going to look with Matthew Stafford at the helm.
Stafford has long been one of the NFL’s most underrated quarterbacks. Since 2011, he has averaged 4,453 yards, 28 touchdowns and 13 interceptions per 16 games while playing for Detroit teams that have, largely, struggled. Now, he gets to team up with Sean McVay and a Rams offense that features a wealth of receiving weapons, namely Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods.
Defensively, the Rams have Aaron Donald — who has won the Defensive Player of the Year Award three of the last four seasons — and a rock-solid secondary that stars Jalen Ramsey and Darious Williams. Sure, they lost some pieces in Troy Hill and John Johnson, but they have enough depth and talent to make up for the losses.
Stafford should be a stabilizing force for the Rams and if their defense can continue to do well without Brandon Staley, they’ll be in good shape. Outside of trading for Stafford, landing Raheem Morris to be their new defensive coordinator may have been the Rams’ biggest offseason move.
Los Angeles almost won the Super Bowl in 2019. They certainly could do it this year, though they’ll have to survive a tough division. Even still, they’re a good value pick at 15-1.
Can the Browns win the AFC? It will be tough for them to get through the Chiefs and the Bills, but they have the talent needed to do it, especially on offense.
Cleveland has one of the best offensive lines in the NFL, and they’re bringing back all five of their starters from last season. So long as they can stay healthy, they will help Baker Mayfield stay clean in the pocket and distribute the balls to his weapons — Odell Beckham Jr., Jarvis Landry, Austin Hooper, Harrison Bryant, et al. They’ll also blast open running lanes for Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt, who form one of the best one-two punches at RB in the NFL.
Defensively, things are looking better for the Browns too. They added several veterans to their front seven in Jadeveon Clowney, Malik Jackson and Anthony Walker, but their biggest additions come in the secondary. The Browns already had Denzel Ward as a top cornerback back there. Now, they’ve added first-round pick Greg Newsome to play across from him and two former Rams — safety John Johnson and slot-man Troy Hill — to give them an even better coverage unit.
The one question Cleveland has is its linebacker talent. If defensive coordinator Joe Woods can find a solution there, the Browns will have one of the strongest all-around starting lineups in the NFL. Mayfield will have to take another step forward, but at 16-1 odds to win the S, that certainly isn’t a bad gamble.
If you’re looking for a deep sleeper pick to win the Super Bowl, the Cardinals are appealing. Oddsmakers simply aren’t giving them enough credit. They have the 20th-best odds to win the Super Bowl, but their team is better than that.
Arizona nearly made the playoffs last year, but Kyler Murray dealt with a shoulder injury from Week 11 onward. That limited him a bit, though he didn’t miss a game. For 2021, he should be healthy and if he can stay that way, the Cardinals should challenge for a playoff spot.
The Cardinals added some serious, veteran talent to their roster during the offseason. They acquired three-time Pro Bowler Rodney Hudson to lock down the center spot and three-time Defensive Player of the Year J.J. Watt to add another great pass rusher next to Chandler Jones. Drafting Zaven Collins and getting Robert Alford back from injury have further added talent to their defense, which now looks solid.
Arizona already had a good offense. It was all about adding to their defense. Their front seven now looks solid and their secondary is much-improved thanks to the depth they added at cornerback. They’ll be better off anyway as quarterbacks should have less time to throw against a more fearsome pass rush.
There are some factors working against the Cardinals. Namely, they play in the NFC West, which features other potential playoff contenders like the Rams, 49ers and Seahawks. That said, they have played well against divisional competition in recent seasons, so they stand a chance of emerging as a playoff team. And if Murray is healthy, that offense can be explosive enough to win a title.