There are just two weeks remaining in the 2020 college football season, which heads into December with a full slate of top 25 teams.
There are just two matchups between ranked teams in Week 14. No. 25 Liberty travels to No. 14 Coastal Carolina, and No. 10 Indiana faces No. 18 Wisconsin. There are sure to be more schedule changes along the way because of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic in the United States.
The second set of College Football Playoff rankings will be unveiled Tuesday, and that is sure to add to the excitement. SN picks every top 25 game against the spread each week. Here is a look at our track record this season:
- Last week: 11-2 S/U, 6-7 ATS
- Overall: 140-38 S/U, 92-77 ATS
- Top 25: 130-33 S/U, 87-73 ATS
Now, a look at our picks against the spread for Week 14:
Week 14 picks against the spread
Saturday, Dec. 5
No. 5 Texas A&M (-6.5) at Auburn
The line jumped 2.5 points from its open, and the Aggies are almost a touchdown favorite against the Tigers. Texas A&M is 2-3 ATS as a favorite this season, and the Tigers are in a rare spot of playing a regular-season game after the Iron Bowl. Auburn has won the past three meetings, so count on a close one that matches the early line.
Pick: Texas A&M wins 27-23 but FAILS TO COVER the spread.
No. 4 Ohio State (-22) at Michigan State
There are doubts that this game will be played knowing the Buckeyes are dealing with COVID-19 issues. Ohio State has won the past three meetings by 20 points or more, however, and style points will matter with the short number of games.
Pick: Ohio State wins 45-17 and COVERS the spread.
No. 19 Oklahoma State (-2.5) at TCU
The Cowboys have failed to cover in their past four games, but the Horned Frogs are just 1-3 at home this season. The teams have traded one-score victories the past two years. We’ll stick with the more consistent team.
Pick: Oklahoma State wins 34-27 and COVERS the spread.
Rice at No. 15 Marshall (-23.5)
The Thundering Herd is 5-2 ATS this season, but that number drops to 2-2 when favored by more than 20 points. Rice has played three games this season, and that makes this a tough game to project. Take the home team.
Pick: Marshall wins 38-13 and COVERS the spread.
No. 25 Liberty at No. 14 Coastal Carolina (-7)
Is this the best game of the weekend? Both teams have been outstanding ATS in 2020. The Chanticleers are 7-2 ATS and the Flames are 8-2. Both offenses can score, too, but the Flames have played a tougher schedule. It adds up in an upset.
Pick: Liberty wins 34-31 in an UPSET.
Syracuse at No. 2 Notre Dame (-33.5)
The Irish have covered in four of their past five victories, and this is a game that they should dominate from the offset on both sides. The Orange is 2-1 ATS in games in which they are 20-plus point underdogs. Be wary of the last-minute back-door cover in a blowout.
Pick: Notre Dame wins 45-13 but FAILS TO COVER the spread.
No. 24 Iowa (-12) at Illinois
The Hawkeyes have won four in a row, and three of those victories were by 20 points or more. The Illini had an extra week to prepare, but they will have trouble slowing down the Hawkeyes’ efficient ground game. Iowa has won the past six meetings. Make it seven.
Pick: Iowa wins 31-17 and COVERS the spread.
No. 5 Florida (-17) at Tennessee
The Vols have been outscored 134-45 in the second half, and that could be a trend that haunts them against the rival Gators. Florida ranks 10th in the FBS with 43.4 points per game and have won the past two meetings by 28.5 points per game. Expect Kyle Trask to pour it on in the second half.
Pick: Florida wins 45-21 and COVERS the spread.
Navy at No. 21 Tulsa (-11.5)
The Midshipmen played Memphis tight last week and are 4-4 ATS this season. The Golden Hurricane is 1-2 ATS when favored by double digits. Tulsa wins, but Navy hangs around into the fourth quarter.
Pick: Tulsa wins 31-24 but FAILS TO COVER the spread.
No. 10 Indiana at No. 18 Wisconsin (-13)
Indiana lost quarterback Michael Penix Jr. to a leg injury for the season, and that’s a huge blow considering the season the Hoosiers have put together. The Badgers have won the past 10 meetings in the series, and several have been epic blowouts.
Pick: Wisconsin wins 35-20 and COVERS the spread.
West Virginia at No. 12 Iowa State (-7)
The Cyclones are in great position to make the Big 12 championship game, but they need to avoid a hiccup against the Mountaineers. West Virginia has won the past two meetings by an average of 20 points per game, so Iowa State better be careful.
Pick: Iowa State wins 33-28 but FAILS TO COVER the spread.
Vanderbilt at No. 11 Georgia (-33.5)
Vanderbilt let go of Derek Mason one day after Sarah Fuller made history by becoming the first woman to play in a Power 5 game. Fuller might have a chance to kick a field goal this week, too. Georgia, however, will make short work of the Commodores behind J.T. Daniels.
Pick: Georgia wins 42-13 and but FAILS TO COVER the spread.
No. 20 Louisiana at Appalachian State (-2.5)
The Mountaineers might not make the Sun Belt championship game, but they have a chance to hand another loss to Louisiana. The Ragin’ Cajuns are 0-8 all time against the Mountaineers. It’s hard to bet against that trend.
Pick: Appalachian State wins 30-27 and COVERS the spread.
Stanford at No. 23 Washington (-11)
The Huskies rallied to an impressive comeback victory against Utah, and they have a chance to push into the Playoff picture with a few more victories. The past three meetings have been decided by 10 points or fewer. This will follow that trend.
Pick: Washington wins 31-24 but FAILS TO COVER the spread.
No. 21 Oregon (-9) at Cal
Oregon’s playoff hopes were dashed with the loss to Oregon State, but they can still factor in to the Pac-12 championship race. Cal is 0-3, and the defense is giving up close to 30 points per game. The Ducks bounce back on the road.
Pick: Oregon wins 34-24 and COVERS the spread.
No. 4 Clemson (-22) at Virginia Tech
The Tigers are in pick-your-score-mode in trying to get back to the ACC championship game, and that’s bad news for Virginia Tech. Look for Trevor Lawrence to put up another monster performance as the countdown for the rematch with Notre Dame begins.
Pick: Clemson wins 49-20 and COVERS the spread.
No. 9 Miami (-17) at Duke
The Hurricanes travel to Duke in a change-of-plan game. The Blue Devils are 2-1 ATS when they are double-digit underdogs. Miami hasn’t played since Nov. 14, and that rust might show early.
Pick: Miami wins 31-20 but FAILS TO COVER the spread.
No. 1 Alabama (-28.5) at LSU
The spread seems absurd one year after these teams played in a No. 1 vs. No. 2 thriller, but it’s about the state of LSU at this point. The Tigers were routed 48-11 against Auburn earlier this season, but that was on the road. The Crimson Tide has won their past four games by 29 points or more.
Pick: Alabama wins 42-17 but FAILS TO COVER the spread.
Baylor at No. 13 Oklahoma (-23)
The Sooners and Bears played two instant classics last season, and Baylor is coming off a 32-31 shootout victory against Kansas State. All of the Bears’ losses are by 11 points or fewer. They can hang around against Oklahoma.
Pick: Oklahoma wins 42-24 but FAILS TO COVER the spread.
Sunday, Dec. 6
Washington State at No. 17 USC (N/A)
The Trojans missed last week’s game because of COVID-19 concerns, but they remain one of three unbeaten teams in the Pac-12. The Trojans are 0-2 ATS as a favorite, but they should be fine against the Cougars, a team that has allowed 35.5 points per game.
Pick: USC wins 38-27.